Essay代写：The potential impact of brexit－r51due

下面为大家整理一篇优秀的essay代写范文- The potential impact of brexit，供大家参考学习，这篇论文讨论了英国脱欧的潜在影响。从短期的结果看，英国脱欧是欧洲区域一体化遇到的挫折和回调。英国脱欧公投后，国际金融市场率先做出消极回应，全球各大金融市场的主要金融指数均承受下行压力，出现大幅震荡，英镑汇率跌至历史最低。未来甚至有可能直接导致欧盟统一大市场分为英国和欧洲两部分，将对盟内人员自由流动、金融服务等方面产生负面影响。未来金融市场是否再起波澜、世界经济多大程度受到牵连，取决于英、欧对各自内部局势的掌控。

Since the result of the brexit referendum was announced, it has drawn great attention from the international community and triggered reflection and discussion from all walks of life. This paper holds that, from the perspective of world multi-polarization, the overall impact of brexit is positive, which is conducive to promoting the development of the world towards multi-polarization. From the perspective of great power geopolitics, brexit has little impact on Britain in general while weakening the eu. To a certain extent, it is good for Russia and China, while it has mixed advantages and disadvantages for America. From the perspective of economic globalization and global governance, certain "adverse" effects will be brought to globalization in the short term. In particular, the sovereignty regression trend exposed by brexit will intensify the game between great powers, further impeding the establishment of a new global order.

Since the World War II, it has been difficult for Britain to speak as a separate pole in international politics. Before the World War I, Britain was a well-deserved world hegemon with its economic strength ranking among the top in the world and its colonies all over the world. After World War II, Britain was replaced as the dominant power by the United States. Although Britain was still an economic power and an important member of the group of seven western countries, it could only follow the United States and Europe in the international political and economic arena. Although the UK has no fundamental differences with western countries such as the us and Europe in terms of ideology and international politics, in fact, the UK is not only at odds with European powers such as France and Germany in history, but also in a long-term competitive relationship in reality. Although the UK and the us do not share the same views on many major international issues, such as international financial and security affairs, they are always constrained by various factors and cannot exert their own influence in global affairs as independent poles.

Britain's exit from the eu objectively contributes to the multi-polarization trend of international affairs. Even if Britain eventually leaves the eu, it will not leave NATO, nor will it change its permanent membership of the UN security council and its status as a nuclear power. This will be conducive to Britain's independence from Europe and even the western bloc in the fields of diplomacy, economy, trade, currency, finance, military, security and defense. For example, during the establishment of the aiib, the UK took the lead in announcing its intention to join, which was followed by many continental European countries. In terms of China's market economy status and anti-dumping substitute country policies, the UK has always pursued free trade policies and opposed trade protectionism. Its position is different from that of the eu. It is to be expected that leaving the eu will help the UK to use its consistently pragmatic foreign policy more freely and strengthen its role as a "separate pole" in various international affairs.

Once the UK leaves the eu, it will inevitably cause financial market turbulence, split public opinion and the resignation of the prime minister in the short term, which will bring uncertainty to the UK's economic and social prospects. But in the long run, leaving the eu does not mean fundamentally changing Britain's external environment, including its political alliance with the us and Europe, as well as its economic and trade relations with other wto members. According to preliminary statistics, if the brexit negotiations fail to succeed and are not extended after two years, according to 2013 trade data, Britain's exports to eu members will pay about 9 billion pounds more in tariffs than the current, roughly equal to the eu budget contribution exempted. In particular, as a constitutional monarchy, the influence of the royal family on the political stability of Britain cannot be underestimated. In particular, the queen, who has stood the test of centuries and is deeply loved by the people, is regarded as a symbol of the "stability and security" of the UK and will play an irreplaceable role in the political environment inside and outside the UK. As an old capitalist country, Britain has a solid foundation in politics, economy, finance, law and talent. The British chancellor of the exchequer has proposed a tax cut to attract foreign investment in the brexit revitalization plan. Of course, brexit will also involve a series of sensitive events such as Scotland's brexit and Northern Ireland's independence. It remains to be seen whether the transition will be smooth in the future.

Britain's withdrawal from the eu will undoubtedly damage the European integration process and threaten the internal stability of the eu. France, the Netherlands, Denmark and Italy already have domestic forces pushing for their own brexit referendums. Therefore, how to prevent the proliferation effect of brexit among members is the top priority of European politics. In terms of economic and trade relations, in order to prevent the momentum of European division, the eu is expected to adopt a harsh stance in the next negotiation with the UK to prevent the UK from paying a free rider. To that end, Angela merkel, the German chancellor, declared that "without free movement of people, there can be no access to the single market".

For Russia, the eu is still imposing economic sanctions on Russia due to the Crimea incident. Therefore, the weakened strength of the eu is conducive to Russia to overcome the external sanctions jointly imposed by the us and Europe and restore its position in global geopolitics. Therefore, brexit is a major positive for Russia. For China, china-uk relations are in a "golden era" in history. During President xi jinping's visit to the UK in 2015, the British royal family and people from all walks of life made overtures to China. After brexit, the UK will continue to give priority to the development of economic and trade relations with China, which may take precedence over the conclusion of free trade agreement or bilateral investment agreement between the eu and China. At the same time, brexit has led to the decline of the status of the euro, which is objectively conducive to the improvement of the international status of the RMB. In particular, China and the UK will have more room for cooperation in the "One Belt And One Road" initiative.

On the one hand, as the UK will remain in NATO, the natural alliance between the us and the UK based on history will not change. On the contrary, it will enable the UK to get rid of the shackles of common eu policies and laws and maintain a closer relationship with the us. At the same time, a properly weakened eu is good for the us, especially as the relative decline of the euro helps to strengthen the dollar. On the other hand, the impact of brexit on the negotiation of the transatlantic partnership agreement is huge, resulting in a complicated American mentality.

In the short term, brexit is a setback and a pullback for European regional integration. After the brexit referendum, the international financial markets took the lead in making negative responses. Major financial indexes of major financial markets around the world all suffered downward pressure and experienced substantial fluctuations. The exchange rate of British pound fell to the lowest level in 30 years, while the dollar and gold were higher. In the future, it may even directly lead to the division of the eu's single market into the UK and Europe, which will have a negative impact on the free movement of people and financial services within the eu. Whether there will be further turbulence in the financial markets and to what extent the world economy will be affected depends on the UK and the eu's control of their respective internal situations.

In the long run, brexit does not mean a worldwide reversal of economic globalization. Brexit is not only caused by complicated historical reasons, but also by the fact that Europe is faced with terrorism, refugee crisis, debt problem and other practical difficulties. However, the acceleration of the eastward expansion of the eu, which exceeds its bearing capacity, may be the root cause of the current crisis. Although Britain and Europe are still confronted with various internal separatist forces in the future and their regional integration process has suffered a heavy blow, from a global perspective, the wave of economic globalization driven by international capital will continue and deepen in twists and turns. With the continuous progress of science and technology, information technology and the Internet have been constantly promoted and popularized in the world. In the future, globalization will not only unfold in the economic and technological level, but also present the trend of global in-depth communication in the fields of culture, religion and ideology.

The trend of sovereignty return brought by brexit will bring new challenges to global governance. Brexit is regarded as a symbolic event of the return of national sovereignty in the era of globalization, which, together with the rise of trump's foreign troops in the us election, has become an important symbol of the rising tendency of great power isolationism. The emergence of this phenomenon, to some extent, exposes the deep contradictions of global governance and international rules lagging behind the reality of economic globalization. On the one hand, economic globalization is deepening and the economies of all countries are becoming more interdependent. On the other hand, the international political pattern based on sovereign states at the political level will continue to exist for a long time, which will remain the basic feature of the contemporary international political and economic order. In the coming period, how to strengthen international coordination and cooperation on the premise of ensuring sovereignty and security, and improve the global system, mechanism, rules and other public goods supply capacity is a common challenge facing all countries.

In general, brexit is still in progress, and other major and practical changes due to various political power games cannot be ruled out. We need to stick to the "One Belt And One Road" as a Chinese solution to promote global peace and development. We need to synergize the development opportunities offered by China, the UK and China and the eu so that all parties will uphold the spirit of the silk road and set a good example for world peace and development.

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